Michael Bridgman

The GBP’s recent uptrend may be under a little pressure as the uncertainty of the U.K. election outcome for Prime Minister May’s government June 8th and the formal Brexit talks with the E.U. beginning on June 19th.  Despite USD weakness, the GBP began to sell off today early in the U.K. session.

Price rose during the Asian session but could not close above yesterday’s high.  As price rose early in the U.K. session it was again rejected at yesterday’s high and a short was taken.  Price moved down but had some significant levels to get through as it has been trending upward lately.  We were very cognizant of these levels from the larger charts and cautiously chose to protect our profits at the 1.2900 figure.  Once the U.S. session got underway price dropped further… without us… but recovered making higher lows to close above its Asian session low.

A close below 1.2865 could open the door for a continued move of approximately 100 pips.

Good luck with your trading!

WTI oil continues to stay below $50 barrel and moved lower for a second day in a row.  Despite a bullish GDP release for Canada and a weaker USD, the USDCAD was able to move above 1.3500 today in the U.S. session overlap.

After a third higher low for the session, an entry long was taken with a 17 pip stop loss for a potential 78 pips to our daily target.  As price moved above its Asian high, we allowed room for a retest of that level as we did with yesterday’s high subsequently.  Price continued higher and our trade was closed as our daily target was reached… just before the European close.

A weaker USD today still outperformed versus the commodity currencies.  The AUD remains vulnerable as iron ore prices are back down to last November’s levels.

Politics not economics are weighing on USD strength along with lower treasury yields.  The Euro and GBP are also vulnerable to political perception.

Tomorrow will be our last trading day this week as we prefer to take  NFP Fridays off.

Good luck with your trading!

As the USD came under pressure today, the USDJPY set up first among the majors.  The commodity pairs followed after the CB Consumer Confidence release.

The GBPUSD continues to be vulnerable as the June 9th election looms.  A possible fall election in Italy may be keeping some pressure on the EURUSD today as we approach month end.

Good luck with your trading!

 

On Friday the USD took another tumble and with WTI rising and staying above $50, the USDCAD looked poised for a reversal in the early part of the U.S. session.  The dollar index continued to drop and an entry short was taken.  Risking 20 pips for a stop loss and with a target of 57 pips to our daily target of 1.3522, we were optimistic after the near “railroad tracks” candle reversal.

Price moved down but could not take out a critical level from the 240 minute chart.  At it retested the level just before the U.K. close, we exited the trade shy of our daily target of 1.3522.

Enjoy your weekend and good luck with your trading!

On Wednesday the USD was selling heavily as political events overshadowed economic fundamentals.  All the majors strengthened to the USD during the early part of the U.S. session.  I liked the NZDUSD setup a little better than the AUDUSD because the chart was clearer to my eyes.  I really liked the USDJPY too but it had run too far whereas the commodity pairs had not and were clearly reversing upward.  Although the trade was a countertrend move, it was evident that the USD was getting hammered across the board and it was an opportunity to take advantage of a fast moving market.

The currency markets are very active this year and it doesn’t matter which session you trade because there are nice setups in most sessions followed by fair size moves.  The market is also moving quite technically at the moment and if you know the levels where a pair is likely to stall or reverse – it is not difficult to capture a move and protect your profits.

Good luck with your trading!

The USD was weak today after the disappointing building permits release early in the U.S. session.  The market is sensitive to weak U.S. numbers, as it attempts to weigh the odds of 3 rate hikes in the U.S. this year.  June is the expected next rate increase and whether or not there will be a third late in the year or earlier – possibly followed by a fourth is yet to be priced in.

The gloom overshadowing Europe at the beginning of the year has largely be alleviated by the Dutch and French election results and better economic outlook than we would have had otherwise.

Today after the U.S. news, we waited for a convincing candle to go short and found our entry requiring a 14 pip stop loss for a potential 53 pips to our daily target.  As the USD remained on its back foot the USDJPY moved lower and bounced at the 113.00 figure.  With buyers entering below, we moved our profit stop down and the trade was closed at 113.04.

I continue to keep an eye on the EURGBP – especially  when the EURUSD and GBPUSD move in opposite directions.

I have taken the last 2 weeks off from postings due to time constraints, but I’m back and will be active when I find high probability setups.

Good luck with your trading!