Currency daily ranges remain subdued as the U.S. – China trade talks on again off again nature has constrained trading. A healthy skepticism for the Phase one signing by year end or even before the U.S. election is warranted. We hope it’s the former and not the latter.
Today as the USD continued to weaken, a long was taken on the NZDUSD risking 8 pips for a potential 38 pips to our daily target at .6565. The setup was nice, but the trade was closed at the end of the U.K. session yielding about half of what we were expecting.
There were also some setups on the GBPUSD and USDJPY, but they too didn’t amount to much. With the current back and forth volatility of the market, I prefer to get out and get back in than to weather retracements and give back the majority of my profit.
On Wednesday as the USD continued lower, a long was taken in the EURUSD risking 8 pips for a potential 35 pips to our daily target at 1.1108. Price began to move higher in advance of the U.S. session and we moved our stop loss to plus two pips, before the opening.
Price moved vertically higher to our target where we exited after protecting our profits along the way. Price subsequently reversed and retraced the move back near the session low – before the U.K. Close.
Tomorrow we have the U.S. Non-Farm Payroll release which if missed by a large margin could bring the USDX down to test its November 1st low and possibly the August low… if further releases disappoint or if tariff talks end the week negatively.
Trade cautiously tomorrow and good luck!